Sunday, May 11, 2014

Selective Indian Stocks Warren Buffett Way

If Warren Buffett looks at Indian Stocks what will be his choice? These are the stocks that common men should track. Tracking such stocks will help people to time their purchases. Buying fundamentally strong stocks at right time is the strong point of Warren Buffett. His success can be attributed to his ability to repeatedly identify such stocks. What is the secret of Warren Buffett’s phenomenal success? Frankly speaking, there is no magic wand with Warren Buffett that made him so successful in investing. What he has is a spectacular business mind. In his mind, he churns easy to follow stock screeners. In this article we will unearth stock screeners of Warrant Buffett. Warren Buffett will only buy fundamentally super-strong stocks at undervalued price. The way he identifies fundamentally strong stocks is what makes him so successful. Buffett never buy stocks that everybody is buying. Instead he will buy that stock that has potential but is not in lime-light. In short, Buffett likes non-popular stocks.

 In concept, Warren Buffett will buy stocks which has following characteristics
  •  Strong Balance Sheet & Profit & Loss Accounts
  •  Healthy Cash Flow
  • Strong Top Management of Company
  • Understandable Business Process
  • Enjoys Competitive Advantage

Warren Buffett specially likes companies with competitive advantage. In Warren Buffett terms such companies is said to enjoy competitive moat. Companies which have majority market share in its sector in terms of sales turnover is said to enjoy moat. So for us the first step is to identify companies which are sector leaders. Just looking at high sales turnover is not enough. Identifying sector leaders and tracking them is essential.

Competitive advantage of company can also be gauged by looking at its profitability. By profitability I mean EBITDA margins. Companies which are sector leaders and also displays high EBITDA margins are super-liked by Buffett. For a common man the starting point of preparing a list of Warren Buffett type Indian stocks is look at these two parameters:  
  1. Sector Leaders
  2. And their EBITDA margins

If you are like Buffett you would like to buy stocks of companies from this list only.

But before one goes ahead and buy these stocks other financial parameters needs to be checked.

Other parameters based on which Warren Buffett further screens stocks are like this:

§  Warren Buffett will look into Earning Per Share (EPS). In last 10 years EPS growth shall at least beat inflation. In no year EPS shall be negative. The higher EPS growth the better.

§  Warren Buffett will look into Debt to Earning Ratio (DER). Generally investors compare debt to equity. 
But Warren Buffett likes to compare Debt to Earning. Why? Because he wants to see companies which carry less debt. He likes such companies which can pay-off all of its long term debt in five years. Means, companies will DER of less than 5 are preferred.

§  Warren Buffett will look into Return on Capital Employed (ROCE).Idea is to see how profitable company is using employed capital to generate profits. Total capital employed is total equity + total debt. Average ROCE shall be more than 10% per annum/inflation.

§  Companies having positive Free Cash Flow are liked by Buffett.

Selective Indian Stocks Warren Buffett Way 
(As of May’2014)

SL
Company
Market Price (Rs.)
Market cap (Rs Cr.)
EPS Growth % (CAGR 3 Yr)
RoCE in %
FCF Per Share
FCF Growth % (CAGR 5 Yr)
1
VST Industries Ltd
1,923.00
2,969.50
26.72
50.67
46,108.84
21.66
2
Kewal Kiran Clothing Ltd
1,258.15
1,550.67
17.99
24.93
26,430.81
122.03
3
Nestle India Ltd
4,768.50
45,975.97
10.92
36.26
15,665.47
25.46
4
Benares Hotels Ltd
616.05
80.09
31.54
31.88
43,373.44
55.26
5
Bajaj Finance Ltd
1,901.85
9,536.26
69.64
12.50
1,107.53
100.00
6
Disa India Ltd
3,409.70
514.86
8.87
30.60
599,281.14
64.11
7
Bata India Ltd
1,029.65
6,616.94
26.00
15.84
10,621.97
41.72
8
Tide Water Oil Co Ltd
8,019.25
698.48
2.88
25.27
2,450,776.32
57.01
9
Indag Rubber Ltd
325.95
171.12
29.23
40.47
3,483.39
42.56
10
JSW Holdings Ltd
631.00
700.41
70.45
3.82
17,236.41
46.02
11
Finolex Cables Ltd
153.40
2,346.08
36.09
11.24
219.10
105.65
12
Petronet LNG Ltd
143.75
10,781.25
41.64
22.13
11.48
16.90
13
Colgate-Palmolive Ltd
1,415.05
19,243.69
5.48
120.93
4,351.27
12.60
14
Fag Bearings India Ltd
2,200.00
3,655.74
0.09
10.73
51,103.37
125.07
15
Indraprastha Gas Ltd
288.30
4,036.20
18.01
29.17
305.98
17.96
16
Fluidomat Ltd
103.15
50.82
38.76
41.62
1,966.71
32.80
17
Gujarat Intrux Ltd
111.90
38.44
100.59
37.85
2,692.82
18.62
18
Sanofi India Ltd
3,023.25
6,962.85
4.75
21.58
93,142.16
0.52
19
Cummins India Ltd
539.50
14,954.94
7.13
31.13
970.91
16.30
20
NMDC Ltd
149.75
59,371.62
22.53
25.60
7.81
4.07
21
Selan Explorations Technology Ltd
557.45
914.22
12.88
24.25
6,937.94
14.25
22
TTK Healthcare Ltd
521.35
404.88
15.86
17.77
16,275.80
25.19
23
Vesuvius India Ltd
522.60
1,060.67
10.08
20.60
6,862.08
28.19
24
Jenburkt Pharmaceuticals Ltd
103.70
48.21
18.06
21.58
5,001.72
98.37
25
IFB Agro Industries Ltd
196.30
183.87
74.03
22.82
3,240.85
10.86
26
Stovec Industries Ltd
471.05
98.36
13.64
20.18
30,025.45
33.70
27
Dewan Housing Finance Corporation Ltd
229.40
2,945.95
24.25
10.75
136.46
51.53
28
Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Ltd
238.30
1,112.46
18.23
23.47
322.03
13.82
29
Igarashi Motors India Ltd
167.35
509.50
74.53
21.30
1,009.95
7.57
30
Vardhman Holdings Ltd
565.00
180.35
16.05
5.94
36,152.32
76.88
31
VST Tillers Tractors Ltd
1,022.30
883.27
4.69
14.63
57,804.05
20.09
32
Mazda Ltd
145.20
61.83
8.78
26.83
1,961.21
101.95
33
EIH Associated Hotels Ltd
152.00
463.11
35.56
15.25
528.82
21.71
34
Repco Home Finance Ltd
386.35
2,401.59
10.78
9.98
1,476.71
50.18
35
Ingersoll-Rand (India) Ltd
452.25
1,427.66
18.03
5.71
5,380.95
16.94
36
Linkson International Ltd
257.55
85.04
36.33
2.30
4,863.05
57.89
37
Rajesh Exports Ltd
124.10
3,664.18
26.82
12.32
5.41
12.29
38
Akzo Nobel India Ltd
859.50
4,010.43
2.73
13.65
9,020.03
11.55
39
Cheviot Company Ltd
310.85
140.22
23.23
11.20
3,948.82
22.72
40
Rasoi Ltd
380.00
73.42
26.44
3.79
12,043.37
22.03
41
State Bank of Bikaner and Jaipur
364.05
2,548.35
4.65
6.27
61.70
157.51
42
Josts Engineering Company Ltd
274.40
20.99
12.53
15.28
117,649.00
1.64
43
Sandesh Ltd
302.75
229.15
20.58
16.60
1,655.96
0.61
44
G M Breweries Ltd
132.20
123.71
1.14
22.26
624.62
45.10
45
Gujarat Alkalies & Chemicals Ltd
174.80
1,283.68
11.05
15.54
147.64
6.77
46
Gujarat Hotels Ltd
137.00
51.90
10.14
17.58
9,826.70
2.85
47
Can Fin Homes Ltd
235.70
482.83
11.36
8.85
697.66
18.56
48
GIC Housing Finance Ltd
118.85
640.02
8.22
10.37
34.47
0.82